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PECOTA Projected MLB Standings 2020

PECOTA released their 2020 MLB Standings projections this week. PECOTA, which stands for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm

Patrick McDermott/Getty Images

According to Baseball Prospectus, PECOTA is a system that takes a player’s past performance and tries to project the most likely outcome for the following season. It looks at all of the numbers, and all the numbers that make up the numbers, to see which players are more likely to repeat their success and which ones benefited from good fortune.

Based on the PECOTA system, these are the project 2020 MLB Standings:

American League

AL East –

New York Yankees 99-63

Tampa Bay Rays 87-75

Boston Red Sox 85-77

Toronto Blue Jays 77-85

Baltimore Orioles 63-99


AL Central – 

Minnesota Twins 93-69

Cleveland Indians 86-76

Chicago White Sox 83-79

Detroit Tigers 69-93

Kansas City Royals 68-94

Nelson Cruz (David Berding-USA TODAY Sports)


AL West –

Houston Astros 98-64

Los Angeles Angels 87-75

Oakland Athletics 85-77

Texas Rangers 73-89

Seattle Mariners 66-96


Houston Astros Alex Bregman (Butch Dill-USA TODAY Sports)

National League

NL East –

New York Mets 88-74

Washington Nationals 87-75

Atlanta Braves 83-79

Philadelphia Phillies 77-85

Miami Marlins 71-91

Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports


NL Central –

Cincinatti Reds 86-76

Chicago Cubs 85-77

St. Louis Cardinals 80-82

Milwaukee Brewers 79-83

Pittsburgh Pirates 70-92

NL West –

Los Angeles Dodgers 103-59

San Diego Padres 79-83

Arizona D-Backs 79-83

Colorado Rockies 77-85

San Franciso Giants 68-94

According to these projections, the Dodgers will be the best team in baseball. The Astros will still compete with the Yankees for the best record in the American League. The Mets will win the NL East and the Reds will win the NL Central.


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Nicholas Durst

Nicholas Durst is a sports media professional who has worked as an on-air personality and producer with the Brooklyn Cyclones, Bleacher Report, MSG Networks, WFAN Radio and MTV. He has experience in TV, radio, social/digital media, short-form and live video across sports and entertainment. He is also a NCAA Division II broadcaster for CSI SportsNet. Nicholas hosts You Know I'm Right, right here on Follow him on twitter @Nick_Durst
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