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Saturday Special: John Venezia’s best NFL Week 15 bets and tips

Nothing to see here. Just a SATURDAY DOUBLE HEADER! BUTTER!!! The change to the new sweat suit has done wonders- IFYKYK. Every NFL season we get blessed with a couple games on Saturday afternoon and evening towards the end of the regular season.

In a two-game slate, there’s obviously not as much to choose from as normal, but there are definitely some interesting things to watch out for. While we preview this, don’t forget about the regular Weekly Taste every Sunday.

Let’s lock in…

Best NFL Week 15 Bets and Tips: Saturday Edition

Buffalo Bills (-5) @ Denver Broncos | Can Buffalo prove their ready for the big stage?

Ok. This is not the game to prove their legitimacy. If you’re the Bills, it’s an opportunity to notch your 11th win against an inferior opponent. Bills Mafia is starting to hit their stride at the right time with three straight W’s and having won six of their last seven games (only loss being to Arizona thanks to the miracle Hail Mary). As people have hoped, Buffalo looks vastly superior than the 2019 version, largely in part to the maturation of QB Josh Allen. Part of being a good team in the NFL is not just beating good teams, it’s destroying the bad ones.

The Denver Broncos were a sneaky threat of mine heading into the season with a low key loaded and deep roster. Unfortunately injuries have ravaged them in 2020. However, this is a team that can still give opponents a run for their money. QB 1 Drew Lock has the Ryan Fitzpatrick/Jameis Winston “IDGAF” gene, which allows him to either have his team in winning position or down by 60 at half. With star corner AJ Bouye out for the rest of the season thanks to a PED suspension, the pesky Denver D will have to pull something out of its…. Well, you know.

This might be one of the biggest trap games of the week. Everything in the world says to take Buffalo. Even had a dream about it last night. IF the Bills are the legit contenders they are claiming to be, it’s crucial to avoid a disastrous upset to a Broncos team that is perfectly capable of playing spoiler. The spread is tightening up, and the money looking towards Denver seems to be smart. Against my better judgement, I will put faith in Buffalo to stay out of their own way (that means you Josh Allen) when they’ve imploded in the past.

PREDICTION: Bills win and cover the road 5.

Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers (-8) | Can Carolina pull the big time upset?

My preseason MVP and current MVP frontrunner, Aaron Rodgers has been nothing short of sensational this year. At 37 years old, he’s enjoying one of his best seasons ever in a career that includes some laughably dominant campaigns. With the number 1 seed and bye week in crystal clear view, the Green Bay Packers have the makings of a team that can make some noise in the post season as the highest scoring team per game in the NFL (31.5 PPG). Also, it doesn’t hurt to have Davante Adams on a war path with his eight straight game touchdown streak cutting thru defenses. Of course the big knock on them is they barely beat good teams and just destroy the bad ones (take notes Buffalo). With a few weaknesses on this roster, the difference falls on the right arm of Rodgers, as it has many times in the past.

Carolina is quite honestly ahead of schedule in year 1 under HC Matt Rhule. His Panthers have shown so much promise this season, especially without star RB Christian McCaffrey for most of the year, that there could be reason to believe this team will be a tough out in years to come. Despite little Run CMC this season, these Panthers have given a lot of teams fight. They’ve been in just about every game this season, so I expect Green Bay to have its hands full… for a while.

This is an intriguing game, one where we should see tons of scoring. Green Bay is good for 30 just about every week. The Panthers are a savvy offense who can exploit matchups. I expect Carolina to keep it tight for most of the day, and 8 is a lot of points, but at the end of the day, Green Bay has more on the line.

PREDICTION: Packers win and cover the home 8.

Saturday Week 15 Teaser (+6):
My Personal Teaser play. The lines have been tightening this afternoon.

Buffalo Bills +1 (originally -5)
Green Bay Packers -2 (originally -8)
Green Bay Packers + Carolina Panthers Over 45.5 (originally 51.5)

JohnnyVTV currently sits 58-55 on the season. For all NFL betting plays, follow @JohnnyVTV and @InTheZoneIO on Instagram.

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John Venezia is JDF Sports lead bettor on NFL and MLB, while also contributing extensively for fantasy football. He operates a self-created video segment on his Instagram account, @JohnnyVTV called the Weekly Taste, where he locks in all of the best NFL bets of the week.

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