Daily Fantasy Preview: Week 11

Week 11 looks to be full of some potentially high scoring games. The Patriots vs the Raiders in Mexico will be the game that most fantasy players will be keying in on and rightfully so. Both quarterbacks in that game should put up huge numbers and playing combos with wide receivers and tight ends will result in big-time fantasy numbers.

High powered offenses like the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs are back in business this week. Both teams have nice match-ups and their top offensive targets can be expected to bring big results as well. Contrarian plays in these match-ups could pay off for fantasy players. A majority of the field will be on most of the same players so throwing in a slot receiver with upside or an injury replacement makes a major impact.

Overall, the key to winning big GPP contest is differentiating your team from the rest of the field. Playing a running back in a game that most fantasy players will be starting the quarterback (Philadelphia, or Oakland) could be a difference maker for fantasy players.  The name of the game is being contrarian. Risk is needed to truly win at Daily Fantasy football. Some players go by their gut and some use analytics to determine outcomes. There is no clear answer on how to win at these contests but taking sleeper plays that have big/unexpected games is a nice way to start.

Quarterback 

Tom Brady

Brady is always in play but with a match-up against the Raiders secondary this week it is worth paying up for him. This game is expected to be a shootout and if the Pats score a lot of points Brady should have a great day. Pair him with Brandin Cooks (who is due for a big game) and Gronk if possible.

Derek Carr

On the other side of the expected shootout in Mexico this weekend is Carr. Just like Brady, his offense will go as far as he takes them. Carr paired with one of his receivers and/or tight end Jared Cook will be a popular (and cheaper than the Pats) play. If the stack hits and fantasy players don’t have it they will be playing from behind all day.

Deep Sleeper: Blaine Gabbert

Gabbert is an experienced quarterback at a minimal price for a starter. He still has the same weapons that Carson Palmer had to begin the season. Gabbert will most likely force the ball to Larry Fitz, which could result in a low owned high ceiling output. Gabbert isn’t a sexy play by any means but at his price, it is hard not to pull the trigger.

Running Back

Mark Ingram

Ingram is going to be an extremely popular play this week. He has been rolling. The only fear is that he seems to rotate big games with Alvin Kamara. Ingram is good for at least one touchdown though so build lineups with that expectation.

Jay Ajayi

The entire world is expecting Philly to come out and pass all over the Cowboys but this may be a spot for Philly to show off their new toy. It is never easy taking a running back in the match-up where one of the top priced QB is playing but thinking outside the box is what wins DFS games. Ajayi should thrive behind the Philly O-Line and this could be his coming out show.

Deep Sleeper: Dion Lewis

Clearly, this game is stacked with big plays in it. Rex Burkhead is the big name that the fantasy world has been throwing around all week so a contrarian play would be Dion Lewis who is a weapon for Tom Brady in the passing game. The rushing attack for the Pats is even harder to figure out than the Saints so this play is very risky but may be worth throwing into a small cost tournament.

Wide Receiver

Julio Jones

This game is on Monday Night so it is not included in many of the fantasy contest this week. The Seahawks are not the same without Richard Sherman. Fantasy players can expect a big game from Julio under the lights in prime time. Julio should have a few multi-touchdown games in recent weeks but he dropped wide open passes in the end zone. He is clearly not 100 percent healthy but this is exactly the type of game that he thrives.

Also look at: Larry Fitz, Jarvis Landry, and Brandin Cooks. All are great plays.

Tyreke Hill

Attack the Giants defense and specifically their secondary. Hill should thrive in this match-up. The Chiefs are known for their big-play ability and Hill is the poster boy for their passing attack. Most fantasy players will look to Travis Kelce in this match-up but a pivot to Hill will secure the chance at a big play while also having a player against this horrible defense.

Deep Sleeper: Nelson Agholor

Agholor has disappeared for the most part since the first few weeks of the season but the Eagles love to spread the ball around to multiple targets. Alshon Jeffrey is questionable to play which will increase interest in Nelson. He is a long shot but this is the type of play that one touchdown will bring in enough value to make a fantasy player rise up the rankings. He is always a threat to catch a long pass and his big-play ability can’t be ignored.

Deep Deep Sleeper: Cole Beasley

Beasley seems to step up in games against Philadelphia and after last week’s showing, Dallas can be expected to run short/quick patterns to help Prescott avoid the Philly pass rush. This is a big long shot but could be a golden ticket at low ownership.

Tight End

Travis Kelce

Kelce is the obvious play of the week. He is going to bring back value even at a high cost and if there is any player that fantasy players can be comfortable putting in all lineups it is Kelce. The Giants seem to have given up on the season so this game may result in a blowout. If it is a blowout there is some fear that Kelce may sit for some of the second half.

Jared Cook

The Raiders/Pats game is going to have the highest combined ownership out of all match-ups this week. Cook is a nice contrarian play because most fantasy players will focus on QB/WR stacks and Cook often is a forgotten man in the Raider’s offense.

Deep Sleeper: Austin Hooper

Julio Jones is still banged up and this game could turn into a shootout. There really aren’t many cheaper tight ends to focus on. Tyler Kroft could be a nice cheap play but focusing on a Falcons offense that will be airing the ball out on Monday night might be a smarter way to go.

Defense

Jacksonville

The Jags against the Browns is a dream matchup. This may be the week to pay up on defense and take the high-cost Jags. It is hard not to imagine them getting multiple turnovers and most likely a TD. If fantasy players have the extra funds paying up for Jacksonville is the way to go.

The Jags against the Browns is a dream matchup. This may be the week to pay up on defense and take the high-cost Jags. It is hard not to imagine them getting multiple turnovers and most likely a TD. If fantasy players have the extra funds paying up for Jacksonville is the way to go.

Philadelphia

It is hard to ignore what the Falcons defense did to Dallas last week. The Eagles have one of the best defensive lines in football so high sack totals should be expected. If the Birds get a turnover for a TD or a special teams TD they will crush value. Most fantasy players will be keying on Jacksonville, San Diego (against a rookie QB) and the Rams so this play will come with a very low percentage of ownership and will differentiate you in large GPPs.